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that all depends on where you live as to your first frost. I don't expect one in my area till mid november. Others have already had a first frost this year. the signs to watch for would be typical weather changes for your area such as cooler temps,fall leaves, migratory animals leaving or that have left or you could consult the farmer almanac and see when they expect a first frost for your area. They will get it at least close so you can plan for it.
 

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yes, agreed the weather patterns are changing allot these last few years. I just watch the local weather report most times or look out side. the PNW is real unpredictable with the water ways and 2 mountain ranges. we can have some real odd stuff. a for instance is I live on the hood canal side of puget sound but when I drive to the puget sound side the weather can be completely different than what was happening at my house. this is a 10 mile difference in location and maybe 400 feet difference in altitude. happens all the time it will be snowing at my house and under 30 degrees and by the time I get to town 10 miles away it is raining and 40 degrees or sunny. I see the temp changes from town to my home can range from 10 degrees to 2 degrees depending on time of day and location.
 
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